Showing posts with label Fisher Capital management equities. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Fisher Capital management equities. Show all posts

Wednesday, October 12, 2011

Rockland Equipment for Crawler Tractors

Fisher Capital News Update: Keep updated on recent events, press releases and latest machineries to avoid scam.
FISHER CAPITAL CONSTRUCTION MANAGEMENT - Construction Machineries, Suppliers Directory and Others.

Rockland equipment for crawler tractors is specifically designed for special applications. This enables you to get more work done and add more value to the bottom line every day. Rockland Manufacturing Company offers more equipment for crawler tractors than any other attachment manufacturer. There are special dozer blades to increase machine efficiency for such diverse applications as pushing coal, land reclamation, dozing woodchips, and landfill dozing. In addition, special size Angle Blades and Semi U-blades are also available when OEM blades are not the right size for your application.
A Rockland wheel tractor attachment is the Rockland Scoop Dozer. The scoop dozer is ideal for continuous dozing applications such as coal and woodchips. Both Rockland Coal Scoops and Rockland Woodchip Scoops have increased dozer productivity on job sites around the world.
Rockland land clearing equipment for dozers is famous for both productivity and years of trouble free operation. Whether it would be land clearing blades or land clearing rakes, Rockland land clearing equipment gets the job done and has proven itself on every continent. If you are clearing land with a Rockland Dozer Blade, a Rockland land clearing rake, Rockland Shear Blade, or a Rockland V-Blade, we will turn your crawler tractor into a true land clearing machine.
Fisher Capital News Update: Keep updated on recent events, press releases and latest machineries to avoid scam.

FISHER CAPITAL CONSTRUCTION MANAGEMENT - Construction Machineries, Suppliers Directory and Others.
In the early 60's, Rockland designed and built the world's largest dozer blade. This was a joint venture between Gulf Oil Company, Fiatallis, and Rockland. This sixty foot monster was designed for a reclamation project and was pushed by two powerful HD41 Fiatallis crawler tractors! Click here to see a photo of it leaving our factory.
For over sixty years, we have designed and manufactured construction equipment for dozers, loaders, excavators, and motor graders. Every Rockland product is designed for a specific application and is guaranteed to improve machine productivity.
During those sixty years, Rockland made several unique contributions to the construction equipment industry. We helped prove that wheel loaders could handle shot rock by designing and manufacturing the first spade nose rock bucket ever put in a quarry.
The unique Rockland RF-3 Rake was proven and patented in the late 50's. This was the first land clearing rake to have both reversible and adjustable teeth. We then amazed the construction equipment industry by offering the first lifetime guarantee. We guaranteed the RF-3 for life against any failure from defective design, materials, or workmanship and that even included bent teeth! Click here for a picture of one of our first rakes!
Soon after introducing the RF-3, we introduced lifetime warranties for both HDS and HDV rock buckets with the same powerful lifetime coverage against defective design, material, or workmanship.
In the early 60's, we designed and built the world's largest dozer blade. This was a joint venture between Gulf Oil Company, Fiatallis, and Rockland. This sixty foot monster was designed for a reclamation project and was pushed by two powerful HD41 Fiatallis crawler tractors. Click here to see a picture of it leaving the factory.
We were the very first allied equipment manufacturer to provide a toll free 800 number for our customers. Today, it's accepted practice.
In an industry plagued by broken promises and late deliveries, Rockland was the first, and is still, the only construction equipment manufacturer that puts cash on the line and guarantees ship dates!
During the past decade, Rockland set the standard for excavator thumb design. We were the first to offer narrow thumbs for common sense 3-point pickup. We were the first to offer thumbs ready to install - all that is needed is to weld the mounting plate to the bottom of the stick. We were the first to offer lubricated and sealed pivot points. Then, we were the first to offer a hydraulic thumb with a cylinder rod guard. These were followed by the patented Rockland Thumb Lock that eliminates down drift.
As thumbs for backhoes became more popular, we introduced the Smart Thumb - the world's only rigid strut thumb with hydraulic clamping action that is easily removed or installed in less than a minute.
We also proved to the world that stump splitters don't need to be expensive - we proved that you can split stumps without an expensive auxiliary cylinder, and that all it takes is to use the tremendous force of the curl cylinder to split wood.
This all adds up to the fact that we are a can-do company that has been "doing" for over sixty years. We built our business with an old fashioned commitment to quality and customer service. These comments sum it up:
"We have over forty years experience with Rockland. Their pricing is fair. We've always been amazed at their consistency and dependability. Their after sales support and warranty policies are excellent." - Alabama Dealer
"We insist on Rockland log grapples. We've been using them for over twenty-five years. We tried a few others and found out real quick that low price is really a caution light. We know that Rockland grapples work and if something goes wrong, we can depend on Rockland to give us the support we deserve." - Tennessee Logger
"We've sold Rockland rock buckets for the past several years. We've never had a weld fail or a bucket problem because of poor fit or misalignment. Rockland buckets prove themselves, our customers are well satisfied." - Pennsylvania Dealer
"If a Rockland product doesn't fit, there is something wrong with the machine! - South Carolina Distributor

Tuesday, September 13, 2011

Fisher Capital Management Reports: International Equities

The third quarter saw double-digit returns for the world¹s equity markets. U.S. large-cap stocks, as measured by the Russell 1000 Index, rose 16.07%, bringing that index’s year-to-date return to 21.08%. Mid-cap stocks were the best performers overall, with the Russell Mid-Cap Index gaining 20.62% for the third quarter and 32.63% for the year. Value stocks bounced back during the quarter, outperforming growth stocks across the full range of market capitalizations. Small-cap value stocks were the best performers for the quarter but still lagged their small growth counterparts by almost 13 percentage points for the year.

International Equities: Fisher Capital management, Korea reports: International equities posted double-digit gains for the third quarter as well. The MSCI EAFE IMI Index gained 19.82% in the third quarter, with local-currency average market returns of 15.10% boosted by the weak performance of the U.S. dollar.

Emerging markets produced another strong quarter, but one that was more in line with developed market returns than was the case during the second quarter of 2009, as the MSCI Emerging Market IMI Index rose 21.30% for the third quarter. Both developed and emerging markets were driven higher by the strong performance of European equity markets, while Asian markets, particularly in Japan, lagged.

Fisher Capital Management Outlook: At the end of the quarter, markets reacted negatively to mixed economic news, signaling a potential correction off the recent highs. The strong rally since the market’s low of March 9, 2009 has left observers wondering whether rapidly-rising stock valuations have become prematurely rich and earnings expectations somewhat stretched.

While we are cautious about the performance of the market in the short term, we continue to expect a slower, but more robust and sustained, “smile-shaped” economic recovery in the long run.

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We find the right investment balance for our clients. Fisher leads the way in the provision of first class advisory services across the investment spectrum. Our clients range from private individuals, to intermediaries and global institutions...

Fisher Capital Management, Korea is a leading global financial institution holding extensive relationships with financial institutions, institutional investors and corporations across the world.
As a full service company Fisher Capital Management, Korea provides a full range of investment banking services including advanced risk management, corporate strategy and structure, plus raising capital through debt and equity markets. With this as our backbone we continue to provide a client service second to none.

Fisher Capital Management: Market Performance

Market Performance: Fisher Capital Management - Stocks closed lower in October for the first time in seven months, as investors questioned whether the huge rally off the March lows had exceeded the economy’s ability to generate growth in output and profits.

Indeed, equities capped off a volatile month (the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) experienced triple-digit moves in ten trading sessions!) with a volatile week, as the S&P 500 Index experienced its worst five-day span since early July.

For the month, the DJIA eked out a fractional gain, while all the other major equity market indices suffered losses. Small cap stocks, which had been among the performance leaders of the seven-month rally, experienced the worst hit, with the Russell 2000® Index falling by almost 7%. In another sign that the market may be growing skeptical of the “higher risk, higher reward” strategy, the NASDAQ Composite Index, dominated by technology holdings, declined 3.6% for the month.

Market Performance: Fisher Capital Management - Yet perhaps emblematic of the struggles experienced in the markets recently, growth stocks outperformed value in October, contradicting the idea that the pursuit of “risk” had become out of favor over the past several weeks. Moreover, the weakness in U.S. markets failed to extend beyond our borders last month, as developed markets (MSCI EAFE) experienced just a fractional loss, while the emerging markets (MSCI EM) managed to rise by up to 1%, adding to their impressive year-to-date (YTD) returns.

From a sector perspective, two of the three leading performers off the March lows (financials and materials) declined by the largest amounts in October, as investors appeared to lock in gains of approximately 150% for the financials sector and 75% for the materials sector. Despite the weakness in the technologyladen NASDAQ Composite last month, the higher-quality and larger-cap tech names comprising the S&P 500 Index’s information technology sector simply dropped fractionally. Rising oil prices pushed the energy sector higher by 3%, and the “defensive trade” was still evident within the consumer staples sector, which held on for a 1% gain.

Market Performance: Fisher Capital Management - In other asset classes, fixed-income was mixed last month. The yield on the 10-year Treasury note backed up by seven basis points, as traders likely moved funds elsewhere as the Federal Reserve concluded its $300 billion Treasury purchase program. The dollar continued to weaken, hovering near 14-month lows, which helped drive up the prices for oil, gold, and most commodities.

Fisher Capital Management, Korea is a leading global financial institution holding extensive relationships with financial institutions, institutional investors and corporations across the world.
As a full service company Fisher Capital Management, Korea provides a full range of investment banking services including advanced risk management, corporate strategy and structure, plus raising capital through debt and equity markets. With this as our backbone we continue to provide a client service second to none.

Tuesday, August 16, 2011

Fisher Capital Management News: Commodity Markets 2010


The performance of the commodity markets remains very impressive.
Speculative activity is a major factor, and supply shortages, often the
result of adverse weather conditions, are also providing considerable
support; but there is clearly a view amongst both traders and investors
that the general level of prices is too low, and that they will move
higher. Over the longer-term that view is likely to prove to be justified.
Commodity markets have been extremely volatile over the past month,
rising strongly in the early part of the period, but falling back sharply
towards month-end concerns about the effects of the austerity measures
being introduced in Europe, and indications of a continuing slowdown
in China, have combined to increase fears but for most of the past
month traders and investors apparently decided that the gloom was
overdone; and commodity prices also benefited from some “safe haven”
buying by investment funds.

Base metal prices are still ending the month higher overall, but below
recent levels, with the further sharp rise in the tin price as the outstanding
feature; and food prices have also moved higher, with the continuing
surge in wheat prices as the outstanding feature of these markets, to
provide further support for the view that the era of cheap food is
coming to an end. The gold price has also improved, as investors have
sought “safe havens in the present storm”; but oil prices have fallen
back.

Base metal prices are closing higher again over the past month. Zinc
and tin prices still ended sharply higher, but overall improvements
elsewhere were fairly modest.

Chinese demand remains a critical factor in these markets. It is this
demand that has been the main driving force over recent months, and
that has pushed iron ore prices to record levels and enabled other metal
prices to recover from the lows of the recent recession.

Soft commodity markets have provided a mixed performance over the
past month, but prices are generally higher. The exceptions have been
the cocoa price, which has continued to fall as weather conditions in
the Ivory Coast have improved, crop estimates have been pushed higher,
and the effects of the technical squeeze created by the decision by
Armajaro, the London-based hedge fund, to take delivery of around
7% of the world’s annual cocoa bean production last month, have
eased; and soya-bean prices are also basically unchanged over the
month. But elsewhere there has been a sharp rise in Arabica coffee
prices, and a further improvement in the sugar price.

However the main interest over the month has been in the wheat
market, after the massive price gains, and also in other grain markets.
The most significant events during the month were the decision by the
Russian authorities to ban the export of wheat and other grains until
year-end because of the drought that has devastated crops and caused
widespread fires across the country; and to ask other neighbouring
countries to take similar action.

It is not yet clear how they will respond; but the action has already
created widespread concern.

Russia was the world’s third largest wheat exporter last year, sending
18.3 million tons abroad, and so the decision to ban exports for the
rest of the year has had a dramatic effect on prices. Attempts have been
made to limit the price gains, with the US Department of Agriculture
in particular indicating that US stockpiles of wheat are close to 30
million tons and at a 23 year high, and the UN Food and Agriculture
Organisation insisting that global stocks are more than adequate to
cope with the shortfall, even if other neighbouring countries join the
Russian ban.

But these countries were expected to supply around one quarter of
total global wheat exports this year, and so the panic conditions in the
markets have not been significantly eased. Evidence of significant
purchases of US grain by China for the first time in a decade have also
added to the concerns about the availability of global supplies, and
made it even more difficult to assess the full consequences of the Russian
decision; but it seems unlikely that the surge in the prices of wheat and
other grains in over.

After rising sharply in late-July and early-August, oil prices have
subsequently fallen back towards the $70 per barrel level. There have
been warnings from the International Energy Agency that “the short-
term global economic outlook is highly uncertain, presenting significant
downside risks to future oil demand growth”; there has been a cautious
view of future oil demand from OPEC; and also a report from the US
Department of Energy that US stockpiles of crude oil and refined
products have risen to their highest levels since weekly records began
in 1990. Much will depend on future demand in the US and in China;
but the fundamentals do not seem to point to an early and sustained
improvement in prices unless there is a serious deterioration in political
conditions in the Middle East.

The swing in sentiment towards a more cautious view of global economic
prospects, and the renewed concerns about sovereign debt defaults in
Europe, have provided further encouragement for investors to seek
“safe havens” in the present uncertain situation, and this has led to a
significant rally in the gold price over the past month.

The dollar has recovered well from weakness earlier in the month, and
so the fear of dollar weakness has not been a factor pushing the gold
price higher this month. The evidence that the sovereign debt crisis is
far from being resolved, and the indications of increased Chinese
buying of gold, have all helped to push the price higher. The latest
strength may well lead to a further period of profit-taking; but given
the present international situation, it would be unwise to assume that
the improving trend in precious metal prices is over.

Fisher Capital Management Korea is a leading global financial institution holding extensive relationships with financial institutions, institutional investors and corporations across the world. As a full service company Fisher Capital Management Korea provides a full range of investment banking services including advanced risk management, corporate strategy and structure, plus raising capital through debt and equity markets. With this as our backbone we continue to provide a client service second to none.

Tuesday, August 2, 2011

Fisher Capital Management Report Part 2 - The UK Emergency Budget

Fisher Capital Management Report  Part 2- The UK has had an emergency budget and it could have been much worse. The heavy lifting is being done by a rise in VAT bringing in £13 billion. On the spending side the cuts are achieved by freezing public sector pay, indexing state benefits to the CPI rather than the faster-rising RPI and freezing child benefits. State pensions will be indexed to the higher of wages or the CPI but the pension age will
be raised to 66 fairly soon.

Interest rates are projected to remain low, with inflation absent; and it is possible that Quantitative Easing will need to be resumed but on present prospects this seems unlikely to be necessary. Another concern is with the regulative proposals. There is an antibank mentality developing in this coalition government, which is
most unfortunate; much of it seems to emanate from Vince Cable and the Lib Dems.

Yet a moment’s thought should be enough to convince one that we need bank credit expansion and a return to competition on the bank high street in order to foster recovery and enterprise. Ever tougher bank regulation is what was needed before, at the peak of   expansion, not now in the slough of recession giving way to recovery.
Talk of breaking up banks fails to recognise the natural economics of banks, which favours scale and risk-spreading. Talk of capping mortgage lending at modest percentages of income is also unfortunate when the UK want to see a revival of it’s housing market, now once again back in the doldrums.

A last area of concern is the state of the labour market. The UK do have near ‘full employment’ if one discounts the modest temporary effect of recession. But this only applies to those normally looking for work.

Fisher Capital Management Report Part 2 - The UK Emergency Budget: There is now a large group of people who  are claiming benefits of various sorts in order to stay out of the labour market. Disability benefit is one route;  nother is the having of children in order to get child benefits and related parenting allowances, with tragic consequences for some children.

Tightening up of this has been signalled in the budget but this has happened before, with no proper follow-through.

Another UK labour market problem is the resurgence of union power as Labour loosened the union laws passed before 1997. One key loosening was the 12-week rule, which allows workers to breach  their contracts with impunity when on strike until 12 weeks of strike have occurred. When strikes are designed for short periods for maximum disruption, this 12 week period can take a long time to trigger. During it the employing firm is unable to defend itself by recruiting a different labour force.

Under the pre-1997 legislation firms were able to dismiss workers in breach of contract, provided they did so in a non-discriminatory way. This led to a huge reduction in strikes and a large rise in UK productivity, to the great general benefit.

As we have seen in recent years, certain unions are exploiting this 12-week rule to damage the economy — the classic case has been the BA dispute where UNITE has persisted in attempting to defend well-above market wages for cabin crew.
In sum the budget was a decent start in restoring fiscal sanity. But only a start.

The UK now needs urgent attention to the creation of a proper tax system with low marginal rates but generating a reliable revenue source — the two are perfectly compatible. It needs sense and restraint in regulation. Finally they need to reform their labour market yet again.

Fisher Capital Management Report Part 2 - The UK Emergency Budget

Fisher Capital Management Report  Part 2- The UK has had an emergency budget and it could have been much worse. The heavy lifting is being done by a rise in VAT bringing in £13 billion. On the spending side the cuts are achieved by freezing public sector pay, indexing state benefits to the CPI rather than the faster-rising RPI and freezing child benefits. State pensions will be indexed to the higher of wages or the CPI but the pension age will
be raised to 66 fairly soon.

Interest rates are projected to remain low, with inflation absent; and it is possible that Quantitative Easing will need to be resumed but on present prospects this seems unlikely to be necessary. Another concern is with the regulative proposals. There is an antibank mentality developing in this coalition government, which is
most unfortunate; much of it seems to emanate from Vince Cable and the Lib Dems.

Yet a moment’s thought should be enough to convince one that we need bank credit expansion and a return to competition on the bank high street in order to foster recovery and enterprise. Ever tougher bank regulation is what was needed before, at the peak of   expansion, not now in the slough of recession giving way to recovery.
Talk of breaking up banks fails to recognise the natural economics of banks, which favours scale and risk-spreading. Talk of capping mortgage lending at modest percentages of income is also unfortunate when the UK want to see a revival of it’s housing market, now once again back in the doldrums.

A last area of concern is the state of the labour market. The UK do have near ‘full employment’ if one discounts the modest temporary effect of recession. But this only applies to those normally looking for work.

Fisher Capital Management Report Part 2 - The UK Emergency Budget: There is now a large group of people who  are claiming benefits of various sorts in order to stay out of the labour market. Disability benefit is one route;  nother is the having of children in order to get child benefits and related parenting allowances, with tragic consequences for some children.

Tightening up of this has been signalled in the budget but this has happened before, with no proper follow-through.

Another UK labour market problem is the resurgence of union power as Labour loosened the union laws passed before 1997. One key loosening was the 12-week rule, which allows workers to breach  their contracts with impunity when on strike until 12 weeks of strike have occurred. When strikes are designed for short periods for maximum disruption, this 12 week period can take a long time to trigger. During it the employing firm is unable to defend itself by recruiting a different labour force.

Under the pre-1997 legislation firms were able to dismiss workers in breach of contract, provided they did so in a non-discriminatory way. This led to a huge reduction in strikes and a large rise in UK productivity, to the great general benefit.

As we have seen in recent years, certain unions are exploiting this 12-week rule to damage the economy — the classic case has been the BA dispute where UNITE has persisted in attempting to defend well-above market wages for cabin crew.
In sum the budget was a decent start in restoring fiscal sanity. But only a start.

The UK now needs urgent attention to the creation of a proper tax system with low marginal rates but generating a reliable revenue source — the two are perfectly compatible. It needs sense and restraint in regulation. Finally they need to reform their labour market yet again.

Fisher Capital Management- Financial Market August 2010

Fisher Capital Management- Financial Markets: Sentiment in the financial markets has improved over the past month. The global economic recovery is continuing, so far there have been no sovereign debt defaults, and there has been a modest recovery in the euro. Investors and traders therefore appear to have concluded that the gloom was overdone.

But there has been evidence of a worsening situation in Spain, and the decision by the Chinese authorities to adopt a “more flexible” towards renminbi has also raised some concerns about the growth prospects for the Chinese economy.

Fisher Capital Management- Equity Markets: All the major equity markets, and the emerging markets, have improved over the past month. Wall Street has outperformed markets elsewhere because of some welcome economic data; there have been strong gains in most of the mainland European markets as the sovereign debt crisis has appeared to ease; the UK market has welcomed the measures by the new coalition government to address the problems of the huge UK fiscal deficit; and the Japanese market has also moved slightly higher. Corporate results have been satisfactory; and this has helped to improve sentiment
amongst investors.

Government Bond Markets have had another unusual month. The sovereign debt crisis might have been expected to lead to a general weakness in bond markets; but the main effect has been to produce aggressive switching for the “weaker” markets to the “stronger” ones, and a further widening of the yield curve.

As a result the major markets are unchanged or only slightly lower at a time when the “weaker” markets, especially in Southern Europe, have continued their sharp declines. Slow economic growth and
Low short-term interest rates are continuing to provide support. Currencies: The improvement in sentiment in the markets has led to a movement of funds out of the “safe havens” of the dollar and the yen into commodity-related currencies and “riskier” assets. Both the dollar and the yen are therefore slightly weaker over the
Month; and this movement has also eased some of the pressure on the euro, and allowed it to recover.

Sterling has also improved as the markets have welcomed the measures introduced by the new UK government to reduce the fiscal deficit.

Fisher Capital Management- Short-Term Interest Rates: There have been no changes in short term interest rates over the past month in the major financial markets.

Fisher Capital Management- Commodity markets: have produced a mixed performance over the past month, with some weakness in base metal prices, but strong gains in the prices of cocoa, coffee, oil and precious metals.

The UK Emergency Budget - Fisher Capital Management Report Part 1

Fisher Capital Management Report - The UK has had an emergency budget and it could have been much worse. The heavy lifting is being done by a rise in VAT bringing in £13 billion. On the spending side the cuts are achieved by freezing public sector pay, indexing state benefits to the CPI rather than the faster-rising RPI and freezing child benefits. State pensions will be indexed to the higher of wages or the CPI but the pension age will be raised to 66 fairly soon.

The disappointment for the UK is on the tax side where compromises with the worst aspects of the Lib Dems are apparent. CGT goes up to 28% for top earners … a mistake.

The UK Emergency Budget - Fisher Capital Management Report: The 50% top tax rate and associated rise in the top marginal rate on pensions have been left alone. There is a Bank Levy bringing in £2 billion … defensible, just, at this level but it needs remembering that taxpayers generally make money out of bailouts because they get assets at knock-down prices and are able to hold them until times are better. Then there are cuts in corporation taxes on both large and big firms, which is to be welcomed.

But there is no clear logic here; no sense that the tax system is to be remoulded, to give incentives for entrepreneurs, inward investors to the UK and indeed home investors.

The main question that most people will be asking is whether the fiscal arithmetic will come off and the deficit come down as planned to 1.1% of GDP by 2015/16. The answer depends entirely now on growth. Contrary to most people’s comments, cutting spending as planned is not really that difficult.

The UK Emergency Budget - Fisher Capital Management Report: Much of it will involve simply freezing rogrammes in real terms and also cutting pay in real terms, which the announced freeze on pay will do. Probably some programmes can actually be cut without much trouble given the considerable decline in public sector productivity in the last decade … in other words value for money in the public sector has never been worse.

The main issue is whether UK GDP will grow as forecast, at 2–3% in the next few years. If it does, then revenues will recover substantially.

Already the PSBR figures have come in some £10 billion below the original projections and that seems to be because the original growth figures for 2010 were too low.

There are good reasons for thinking growth of this order will occur. The world economy is recovering rapidly, led by the East — China, India and East Asia. These countries are achieving extremely rapid rates of productivity growth by moving people out of low productivity agriculture mainly into high-productivity manufacturing. Hence their fast growth.

The problem for the West is that these countries also pre-empt available supplies of raw materials such as oil. So if the West grows any faster than its present moderate recovery, it would trigger renewed surges in raw material prices, which in turn would reduce Western productivity growth (factories are less profitable as those prices rise).

So there is a built-in drag on western growth. But nevertheless growth of the 2–3% order is in line with productivity growth at current raw material prices.

One concern for the UK is whether the spending cuts and tax rises themselves will derail the recovery. This is something that Labour is emphasizing.

However, the programme is spread out over five years and this should be gradual enough to be absorbed with monetary policy remaining supportive.

Tuesday, July 26, 2011

Fisher Capital Management - Japan Elects a New Premier Part 1

Fisher Capital Management Eight and a half months after riding the Democratic Party of Japan’s
(DPJ) historic lower house victory into office, Prime Minister Yukio
Hatoyama announced his resignation, having haphazardly frittered
away a chest brimming with political capital.

Major newspapers said that Hatoyama was resigning mainly for
two reasons: his failure to keep his promise to relocate the functions
of US Marine Corps Air Station Futenma, Okinawa, out of Okinawa
Prefecture, and a political funding scandal that included his mother’s
provision of some ¥1.26 billion to him over years.

Following Hatoyama’s resignation, Minister of Finance Naoto Kan
was elected as the new Prime Minister, the fifth in four years.
At his inaugural press conference Kan proposed a comprehensive
reconstruction of the economy, public finance, and social security
as his priority, in addition to reforming public administration, and
conducting responsible diplomatic and defence policy.

Fisher Capital Management Report- Japan Elects a New Premier Part 1: The biggest question surrounding the once-popular new government
is whether Kan can really turn over a new leaf for the DPJ. In his
first policy speech to the Diet as prime minister, Kan sought to set
his administration apart from the previous one by vowing to build
“a strong economy, strong finances and strong social welfare”.

Kan stressed the need to jolt Japan out of its currently weak state,
which he attributed to “anaemic economic growth, ballooning
public debt and dwindling public trust in the viability of Japan's
social security system”.

Observers and practitioners believe that the government is unlikely
to announce any significant new policy initiatives, as Kan was
already one of the main architects behind the previous
administration’s economic policy, although some changes have just
been announced in the DPJ election manifesto for the Upper House
election. For instance it drops the promise of doubling monthly
child allowances to ¥26000 next year.

“I hope to carry over the torch of rebuilding Japan passed on to
me by Hatoyama”, he observed at a press conference after his
election. Alan Feldman, chief economist at Morgan Stanley in Japan,
says that “although Kan’s initial speech did include some new
elements, the main message was continuity with Hatoyama’s
economic policies. Investors are likely to welcome the innovations,
but to remain sceptical of the overall philosophy”.

However, economists believe Kan will face a mountain of challenges
both at home and abroad in the near future. First, he needs to
rebuild that political capital ahead of the upper house elections.
Public support for the DPJ has recovered sharply after his
appointment suggesting that voters have, for now, forgiven the
ruling Democrats for the previous leaders’ policy mistakes.
But it remains to be seen whether the initial popularity of the Kan
administration will translate into a strong performance, and whether
Kan will ultimately be given a strong enough mandate to push
through difficult policy decisions.

Major newspaper polls give Prime Minister approval ratings of
between 60 and 70 percent; but such ratings can be very fickle.
The election will be an uphill battle for the DPJ. The DPJ is without
one of its coalition partners, the Social Democratic Party who left
the ruling camp over Hatoyama’s failure to remove the US base
from Okinawa, as demanded by its leader, Mizuho Fukushima.
The two parties that remain, the DPJ and the People’s New Party,
hold 122 of the upper house’s 242 seats, the slimmest majority
possible. Should the coalition lose that majority in the coming
election, it would mean a split Diet — its majority would only
remain in the lower house. And that would make passing bills
extremely difficult.

Fisher Capital Management Report- Japan Elects a New Premier Part 1: Kan will have plenty on the economic front too. In terms of fiscal
policy, as a former Finance minister he has turned into a fiscal
conservative, having been a champion of funnelling revenue from
higher taxes toward government spending in order to achieve
economic growth. “Economic growth, fiscal reconstruction and
social welfare reform will be achieved together”, he told reporters.